Free Mortgage Payment Protection, FHA Standards Easing and Loan Mods at Absolute Mortgage Banking

November 20, 2009

Free mortgage payment insurance, really?  Yes!  While hosting one of my monthly mortgage market updates, which generally occur every third Wednesday of the month, I learned that CAR actually offers complimentary mortgage protection through their Housing Affordability Program (special thanks to Pam Page and Julia Keady for this information).   To be eligible, the following are a few highlights:

  • First-time buyers only
  • Dwelling must be single-family residential
  • Must close escrow by December 31, 2009
  • Must be represented by a CA Realtor
  • Buyer(s) have not received benefits from HAF in the past

The maximum monthly benefit is $2,250 per month for a total duration of six months, after an initial four-month seasoning period.  As such, it may be worth looking in to additional providers to augment the CAR program, should additional peace of mind be desired.

So what else was good information discussed at the update on Wednesday? 

  • Bridge financing is available for qualified move-up buyers looking to leverage their current home and buy before they sell
  • “Jumbo” money is more available today than it has been over the last year, which is primarily due to price stabilization– there are now programs offering rates below 4%, leverage as high as 90% (80% to $2mm loan amount!) and financing for investment properties
  • with the elevated conforming loan limits staying in tact, rates below 5% and a total of $18,000 in tax credits available to eligible buyers, first-time buyers are likely much better off owning versus renting provided that the holding period is five years
  • Move-up buyers appear to be the most motivated lately, as we are seeing twice the number of applications on “jumbo” mortgages versus conforming mortgages coming in at present
  • with qualifications tightening, sellers are wise to consider offering up to 2% of the sales price  as a credit toward a buyer’s non-recurring closing costs to yield a lower rate and therefore payment
  •  Multiple offers are back, so it’s good to know that the 21-day close is also available again

Next update presentation will be on January 20, 9:30 am and posted on the AMB website calendar– hope to see you there!

FHA Standards Easing

If you know of someone looking to puchase a condo in a new development,  HUD just made it easier to obtain an FHA loan.   HUD is easing up on the requirements that 50% of the units be sold (now down to 30%) and now allows up to 50% of the units to be FHA financed (up from 30%) before funding for FHA is allowed.  The rule that no more than 10% of the units can be owned by one owner and that 50% of the project must be owner occupied hasn’t changed, and the developers aren’t very happy about it, but the reality is that the deal is simply not insurable otherwise.

Loan Modifications Available Through AMB

Coming soon, Absolute Mortgage Banking will have an arrangement with a reputable company that can help individuals modify their loans per the HAMP requirements, and we’ll make the process very easy with a link through our website.  We are in the final due-diligence stage, and we will have a formal announcement likely before Thanksgiving. 

Tax Credit Extended, Markets Further Stabilizing and Real Estate Ideal Hedge

November 11, 2009

Tax Credit and Conforming/FHA Loan Limit Extended

Made official on Friday, the tax credit for home purchases was extended through July 1, 2010 and the important details are exactly as they were in my post on Friday the 30th of October, which was summarized as follows:

· Effective on binding real estate contracts from December 1, 2009 through April 30, 2010, The tax credit would be $8,000 for first time home buyers and $6,500 for move-up buyers who have owned their current home for at least five years

· The tax credit expires on April 30, 2010; however, if a binding contract is reached by April 30, 2010, buyers have an additional 60 days to close the deal and still be eligible for the tax credit

· For purchases made in 2010, taxpayers would be able to claim the credit on their 2009 income tax return

· The income limits for both first time home buyers and move-up buyers would be $125,000 for single return and $225,000 joint return.

· Cost of the home may not exceed $800,000 to be eligible.

Remember that a tax credit has about THREE TIMES the impact of a tax deduction, which allows someone earning $125,000 per year to be taxed on about $102,000*. And since other items like interest and property taxes are also deductible*, that same individual may be looking at less than half of their earnings being fully taxable..!*

Add the above news to the fact HUD also extended the conforming loan limit of $729,750 in the Bay Area to December 31, 2010, and you have a “perfect storm” for every qualified first-time buyer in the Bay Area.

S&P Case-Shiller Confirming Further Improvement of Housing Prices

Released last week, the S&P Case-Shiller index confirms that housing prices continue to improve, especially in areas like San Francisco where the index moved another 2.8% in August to 132.47. This marks the seventh straight month of improvement.

Zillow also reported that their index reflected further stabilization for the third quarter, with over 26% of the metropolitan statistical areas showing signs of improvement.

Real Estate as an Ideal Hedge to Both the “W” Concern and Inflation

You may recall from my last post that we are seeing far more application activity for purchases in the $1mm+ range, especially the $1.5mm to $4mm range. These applications have been coming from our more financially-minded clients, as they not only see tremendous opportunity to obtain a more valuable home, but they are very concerned about a “W”-shaped economic recovery and subsequent inflation. As such, obtaining an upgraded home for less, cheap financing and hedging against inflation make buying a larger home an ideal move. All things being relative, the reality is that the S&P 500 currently has a rather high price-to-earnings ratio at about 19.52 versus the historical average of 15.7. As such, if we were in average economic circumstances, it’s arguable that the stock market is overvalued by about 25%. Given the fact that our current economy is FAR from being in average condition, it’s anyone’s guess just how overvalued the stock market is. All I know is that my savviest, financially-minded clients think that the stock market is due a correction and that real estate is a great asset to have as a hedge against both a market correction and inevitable inflation.

Fannie’s New Program: Deed for Lease

Announced on November 5, Fannie Mae is helping those qualified applicants to essentially sell and lease back their current home. This program is also applicable to investment-property owners who are facing foreclosure and wish to deed the property over to the lender and allow the renters to continue renting at market levels.

Rates and Activity

  • Rates continue to run as low as 3.75%, depending on a number of different factors, with the conforming 30-year at just under 5% and the jumbo 30-year at about 4.75%
  • 71% of our transactions last month were purchases, and the average loan was in the $500k range.
  • As mentioned above, we’re seeing a heavy trend in purchase applications for the move-up market, but inventory is turning off a majority of those buyers
  • We closed a deal in TWO weeks, but we still recommend a 30-day closing period
  • If you or someone you know prefers to pay cash for a purchase, then finance that purchase within 90 days to protect valuable tax advantages, we can help, as we have programs that DO NOT require 6 months seasoning and pricing is based on purchase money, NOT a cash-out refinance

* Does not constitute tax advice.  Please seek any qualified tax professional for proper guidance.

High-cost conforming loans and housing prices

November 10, 2009

On November 6, Scott Sambucci of Altos Research did some analysis of housing prices around the $730,00 sales price to see if conforming loans requiring as little as 5% down were having an impact on selling prices, vs. the 20% minimum down payment for loans over $729,000.

Basically, there is an effect, and we are seeing market striations here locally at the $1.5M and $2M price points as well, where most lenders require 20% and 25% down payments respectively.

Get the scoop, analysis and commentary with cool charts HERE



Tales From The Front, My World of Real Estate, November 8, 2009

November 8, 2009

75 Coronado Avenue, Los Altos $,188,000

75 Coronado Avenue, Los Altos $,188,000

I had the pleasure of hanging out here again this Sunday. It’s a 6 bedroom, 4.5 bathroom home in Los Altos, brand new construction, for the low, low price of $4,188,000.

Currently, there are only 11 homes in Los Altos for sale priced over $3,000,000, so this isn’t exactly your run of the mill property. As you can see from the Virtual Tour, it has everything you need, including two laundry rooms, media room, office, nice master suite and an outdoor kitchen, all nicely packaged in about 6700 square feet. If you have an extra $4 million that you would like to put into real estate and you would like to see it, let me know.

What continues to surprise me is the number of people looking for a home in this price range. The couple today who work at Google (him) and Facebook (her) are obviously planning a big stock sale, now that the market has picked back up.

If we look at the top quartile of the Los Altos market, it definitely falls into the Buyer’s Market category,as the median price of the top quartile has dropped from a high of $3.5M a year ago to about $3.2M today.

Los Altos Top Quartile Price

Los Altos Top Quartile Price








Looking at North Los Altos (94022) we see that the drop in the median price of the top quartile has dropped more significantly from almost $4.75M a year ago to a bit over $3.5M today.

94022 Median Price of Top Quartile

94022 Median Price of Top Quartile








Meanwhile the inventory of these high-end homes has dropped over the last

few months from a high of 34 in July to 25 today.

Inventory of Top Quartile Homes in Los Altos

Inventory of Top Quartile Homes in Los Altos









In North Los Altos, only two of these high end homes have sold or come off the market, even though about a third of the inventory is in 94022.

Inventory of Top Quartile in 94022

Inventory of Top Quartile in 94022








What does it all mean? Well, like with everything for sale right now, cash is king, and if you have the means and are interested in purchasing something, especially something expensive, there are some great opportunities out there. Be it luxury goods, cars or houses, sellers are feeling the effects of the downturn and lack of big stock and bonus payouts.

If you want more specifics, let me know.

Thanks for reading….

Mortgage Mania 25 – What’s Next?

November 3, 2009

Last week I attended a lecture given by economist Chris Thornberg of Beacon Economics on the economic forecast for 2010. The event was sponsored by accounting firm Petrinovich ,Pugh and Co., and Bridge Bank. You can view Dr. Thornberg’s recent presentations on the Beacon Economics website, and his talk from last week HERE.


The digest version is that we will continue to see positive economic news and growth through 2010, but much of that will be driven by the various government funded stimulus packages, which will be ending next year. Since these programs can’t go on forever, Dr. Thornberg predicts that we will see stagnation in 2011 due to the double whammy of unemployment and defaults in the commercial real estate market. Yes, the hits just keep on coming!

We continue to see the following strata in the single-family home market across our area. Here is how the Palo Alto market is currently behaving:

  • Under $800,000 we continue to see some multiple offers and some homes selling briskly for over the list price as buyers are enticed into the market by low down payment (3.5% down), FHA backed loans up to $729,750. New home builders are adding pricing and rate incentives, with some offering 3% rates, if you use their lender, their contract, their terms.



Lower Quartile Palo Alto

Palo Alto $1M - $1.25M, Oct. 2009 vs. Oct. 2008


  • $800,000 – $1,500,000 homes are selling more slowly as buyers need 20% – 25% down payments and substantial cash flow to qualify for mortgages in this price range versus the FHA backed loans mentioned above.
Palo Alto $1.25M - $2M, Oct. 2009 vs. Oct. 2008

Palo Alto $1.25M - $2M, Oct. 2009 vs. Oct. 2008


  • $1,500,000 – $2,000,000 has had an uptick in sales activity in the last month relative to Summer, as buyers in this price range have come back out and absorbed much of the available inventory.


$2M - $3M vs. 1 year ago

$2M - $3M Oct. 2009 vs. Oct. 2008

Homes in Palo Alto over $3M, 10/09 vs 10/08

Over $3M, Oct. 2009 vs. Oct. 2008



  • Over $2,000,000 we are seeing fewer sales and some homes selling at large discounts from listed prices as those owners are overextended and are under financial pressure to sell. Recently, there was a $3.3M short sale in Los Altos, and a $1.8M foreclosure sale in Palo Alto.


Armed with this information, if you are considering selling, early 2010 is the time to take advantage of the current consumer optimism and positive economic news and sell in a relative high (Relative compared a year ago that is, not compared to 2006). As mentioned above, inventory is low relative to demand, especially for updated, attractive homes, and those priced under $2 million are selling. The market above $2 million is moving, but more slowly.