Tax Credit Extended, Markets Further Stabilizing and Real Estate Ideal Hedge

November 11, 2009

Tax Credit and Conforming/FHA Loan Limit Extended

Made official on Friday, the tax credit for home purchases was extended through July 1, 2010 and the important details are exactly as they were in my post on Friday the 30th of October, which was summarized as follows:

· Effective on binding real estate contracts from December 1, 2009 through April 30, 2010, The tax credit would be $8,000 for first time home buyers and $6,500 for move-up buyers who have owned their current home for at least five years

· The tax credit expires on April 30, 2010; however, if a binding contract is reached by April 30, 2010, buyers have an additional 60 days to close the deal and still be eligible for the tax credit

· For purchases made in 2010, taxpayers would be able to claim the credit on their 2009 income tax return

· The income limits for both first time home buyers and move-up buyers would be $125,000 for single return and $225,000 joint return.

· Cost of the home may not exceed $800,000 to be eligible.

Remember that a tax credit has about THREE TIMES the impact of a tax deduction, which allows someone earning $125,000 per year to be taxed on about $102,000*. And since other items like interest and property taxes are also deductible*, that same individual may be looking at less than half of their earnings being fully taxable..!*

Add the above news to the fact HUD also extended the conforming loan limit of $729,750 in the Bay Area to December 31, 2010, and you have a “perfect storm” for every qualified first-time buyer in the Bay Area.

S&P Case-Shiller Confirming Further Improvement of Housing Prices

Released last week, the S&P Case-Shiller index confirms that housing prices continue to improve, especially in areas like San Francisco where the index moved another 2.8% in August to 132.47. This marks the seventh straight month of improvement.

Zillow also reported that their index reflected further stabilization for the third quarter, with over 26% of the metropolitan statistical areas showing signs of improvement.

Real Estate as an Ideal Hedge to Both the “W” Concern and Inflation

You may recall from my last post that we are seeing far more application activity for purchases in the $1mm+ range, especially the $1.5mm to $4mm range. These applications have been coming from our more financially-minded clients, as they not only see tremendous opportunity to obtain a more valuable home, but they are very concerned about a “W”-shaped economic recovery and subsequent inflation. As such, obtaining an upgraded home for less, cheap financing and hedging against inflation make buying a larger home an ideal move. All things being relative, the reality is that the S&P 500 currently has a rather high price-to-earnings ratio at about 19.52 versus the historical average of 15.7. As such, if we were in average economic circumstances, it’s arguable that the stock market is overvalued by about 25%. Given the fact that our current economy is FAR from being in average condition, it’s anyone’s guess just how overvalued the stock market is. All I know is that my savviest, financially-minded clients think that the stock market is due a correction and that real estate is a great asset to have as a hedge against both a market correction and inevitable inflation.

Fannie’s New Program: Deed for Lease

Announced on November 5, Fannie Mae is helping those qualified applicants to essentially sell and lease back their current home. This program is also applicable to investment-property owners who are facing foreclosure and wish to deed the property over to the lender and allow the renters to continue renting at market levels.

Rates and Activity

  • Rates continue to run as low as 3.75%, depending on a number of different factors, with the conforming 30-year at just under 5% and the jumbo 30-year at about 4.75%
  • 71% of our transactions last month were purchases, and the average loan was in the $500k range.
  • As mentioned above, we’re seeing a heavy trend in purchase applications for the move-up market, but inventory is turning off a majority of those buyers
  • We closed a deal in TWO weeks, but we still recommend a 30-day closing period
  • If you or someone you know prefers to pay cash for a purchase, then finance that purchase within 90 days to protect valuable tax advantages, we can help, as we have programs that DO NOT require 6 months seasoning and pricing is based on purchase money, NOT a cash-out refinance

* Does not constitute tax advice.  Please seek any qualified tax professional for proper guidance.

Tales From The Front – My world in real estate, October 9, 2009

October 9, 2009

I’m going back to some of our original content here on 3Oceans and providing some commentary on selected homes I saw today on Broker’s Tour that are worthy of mention to me. Thanks to JT for driving today, and Steve for navigational assistance.

I dragged my Los Altos compatriots to Palo Alto today to see a couple of fine homes from the 1930’s. Being an old house nut, 320 Kellogg Avenue, listed by Tim Trailer of Coldwell Banker in Palo Alto really captured my attention with its period details, classy kitchen remodel and the big soaking tub in the master suite. Set on nearly half an acre of Old Palo Alto, this fine property will only set you back $9,750,000.

Moving downmarket to 2050 Waverly Avenue, listed by Bonnie Bjorn of Coldwell Banker in Menlo Park is this beautifully restored Dutch Colonial, offered with the reduced price of $4,995,000. It’s less house and less land than Kellogg, but you don’t have the train noise, and I actually like the neighborhood better. Plus the almost $5million in change will get you a nice little place overlooking the fairway at Pebble Beach, or a small winery in Sonoma . . .

The highlight for me today was this newer Palo Alto Hills estate, listed by Grace Wu of Alain Pinel for $4,299,000. Almost two acres of land, sweeping views of the Hills, and a 3 car garage (must have!) make this a winner. No open houses, but I can set up a showing if you are interested.

Finally, a big shout out to David Chung of Alain Pinel for rocking his new Audi R8 on broker’s tour today! I think he is the new winner in the sexy Palo Alto Realtor Car competition. Eat your heart out Ken!

If you would like to see any of the homes I wrote about today, let me know.

Thanks for reading . . .

Today’s Palo Alto and Menlo Park Properties: A Guard Tower to Ward off Marauding Athertonians

February 16, 2007

What better way to spend a balmy, sunny, spring day than viewing the new crop of homesInventory of homes for sale in Palo Alto, CA to hit the market in Palo Alto? Come along for the ride as we explore the inventory, which, per our friends at Altos Research, is still tight, but improving.

First up was a stray Menlo Park property — “stray” because Menlo Park properties are normally on broker tour on Tuesdays, not Fridays — namely, 1026 Menlo Oaks in the Menlo Oaks/Flood Park neighborhood of Menlo Park. A retired fireman’s residence, this classic old 3/2 home sits on a 9000 sq ft lot, a size more commonly found south of Bay Road than north of it. The listing agent, Jeanne Wangsness of Coldwell Banker, has it listed at $1,047,000, and in this market it’s anybody’s guess what the winning bid will be, despite how close it is to the charming sounds of highway 101. Look at it this way: you’re paying $100,000 for the home, another $2000 for the quaint (but gas-burning) stove, and $945000 for the land.

1026 Menlo Oaks, Menlo Park, CA 940251026 Menlo Oaks, Menlo Park, CA 940251026 Menlo Oaks, Menlo Park, CA 94025

From there it was on to Palo Alto and 2297 St. Francis, listed by local Coldwell Banker superstar Brendan Leary. Tragically close to highway 101 and Embarcadero — and priced accordingly at $925,000 — is a definite candidate for the cute award, with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and 1120 square feet. Detracting from its charm, however, is a somewhat unkempt back yard.

2295 St Francis Drive Palo Alto CA 943032295 St Francis Drive Palo Alto CA 94303

After popping by Intero Real Estate’s Lana Raltson’s listing at 290 Iris Way in Palo Alto, I mosied on over to see fellow Alain Pinel-er Arti Miglani’s listing at 3055 Stelling. Showing my softer side, I took time to coo over an adorable little 8-month baby whose mother was busy looking over the property. Listed at just under $1.2M, this 3/2 Eichler home has been well-looked after and nicely remodelled, maintaining some of the original charm. Typical of this style home, there is a partial wall separating the kitchen from the living area, but the kitchen has been redone with tasteful tiles, cabinetry, and appliances, and is well lit from both the large windows and door leading outside and the track lighting. Arti had thoughtfully provided a coffee cart service — a wonderful way to keep Realtors lingering longer at the property.

3055 Stelling Palo Alto 943033055 Stelling Palo Alto 943033055 Stelling Palo Alto 943033055 Stelling Palo Alto 94303

Then it was two quick stops at 3934 Nelson (Pat Miller, Alain Pinel) and 2590 Bryant (Tim Anderson, also Alain Pinel) — the latter a small home on a big yard, whose nearly-certain fate is to be torn down and built into a McMansion like the one currently being built 2 houses down.

Today’s pièce de résistance was definitely the last property I saw: 345 Lincoln Ave, a grand century-old Professorville home listed by the Carol/Rosemary/Nicole team (again — Alain Pinel!) For just under $5M, you get a 21000 sq ft lot (pretty rare in Palo Alto), an elegant 4000+ sq ft home, 6 (or more) bedrooms, two stories plus an attic — and thought I can’t speak for the listing agents, they would probably be happy to throw in a GPS so you can find your way around. The nicest touch of this property was undoubtedly the “guard tower” perched above the back of the house, extending up to a four-story house, surrounded by a wall of glass. A perfect place for a sundowner or a late afternoon nap, one imagines this tower would have been perfect for spying on those marauding Athertonians in the old days before peace broke out between the two neighboring towns.

345 Lincoln Ave, Palo Alto, CA 94301

Curious about the route I took? I didn’t think so…but here it is anyways.

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